Congrats to Tuna for essentially making the playoffs. The other 3 spots are still to be determined. I learned over the weekend that due to an Affirmative Action provision in the league, the Caucasian side is guaranteed to have at least one spot in the playoff, in the #2 spot no less. So there won't be 4 Asian teams in the playoffs, even if they all outscore the Caucasian division winner. However, Kevin has made a strong showing in the second half of the season, going 4-2 in the last six games, tied for 2nd best in the league during that span. So the Caucasians may get a deserving entrant after all.
Using the same methodology last week, I ranked the top 8 teams. Surprisingly, while Donny isn't really guaranteed a playoff spot yet, he has a slightly higher chance of winning 2 games than Tuna does and so has a higher expected total wins score now. Reminder: these rankings are to use to predict the final standings in the regular season, NOT to predict who will be the better team come playoffs time. If you go by breakdown record, Donny should really only be at 6-6, not at 8-4. But he has the benefit to face the two bottom Caucasian teams for the rest of the regular season, and thus is the #1 in the ranking. Here are the rankings:
1. Donny - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 9.42
2. Tuna - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 9.33
3. Victor - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 8.42
4. Hai - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 7.17
5. Kevin - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 7.08
6. Vu - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 6.92
7. PJ - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 6.58
8. Byron - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 5.92
9. Matt
10.Justin
Note: I would have continued with Matt and Justin calcs, but the CFO walked into my office with a question I had to answer.
Using the same methodology last week, I ranked the top 8 teams. Surprisingly, while Donny isn't really guaranteed a playoff spot yet, he has a slightly higher chance of winning 2 games than Tuna does and so has a higher expected total wins score now. Reminder: these rankings are to use to predict the final standings in the regular season, NOT to predict who will be the better team come playoffs time. If you go by breakdown record, Donny should really only be at 6-6, not at 8-4. But he has the benefit to face the two bottom Caucasian teams for the rest of the regular season, and thus is the #1 in the ranking. Here are the rankings:
1. Donny - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 9.42
2. Tuna - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 9.33
3. Victor - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 8.42
4. Hai - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 7.17
5. Kevin - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 7.08
6. Vu - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 6.92
7. PJ - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 6.58
8. Byron - Expected Total Regular Season Wins: 5.92
9. Matt
10.Justin
Note: I would have continued with Matt and Justin calcs, but the CFO walked into my office with a question I had to answer.
Comments