The two divisions have crowned their winners, but the final 2 playoff spots are relatively wide open. I've calculated each contender's chances of winning 2, 1, or zero games for the final 2 weeks of the regular season. The probabilities are based on each team's breakdown record versus their upcoming opponents. Sorry, Lily.
Matt
2 38.9%
1 47.2%
0 13.9%
It is likely Matt will get the #1 seed if he ties with Vu at the end of the season, due to his points scored total.
Vu
2 41.7%
1 50.0%
0 8.3%
At worst, a #2 seed. Slightly easier schedule compared to Matt, but very tiny edge.
Justin
2 29.2%
1 50.0%
0 20.8%
All aboard the Panthers express. This season's Katy in terms of going all-in with their favorite team. Due to point differential, pretty much will make the playoffs if he wins at least 1 game (ie 79.2% chance)
Hai
2 22.2%
1 55.6%
0 22.2%
Has banked enough points from week 9 and earlier to have the tie-break edge on any of the other teams below. Needs to root for PJ and Vu in week 14.
Victor
2 29.2%
1 50.0%
0 20.8%
No longer in charge of his destiny. Last week, should have gone with the 2 RB from same team strategy he used in mid-season. Like establishment Republicans, has to root for the rich to keep stomping on the middle class. Go Matt and Vu!
Kevin
2 6.9%
1 44.4%
0 48.6%
Has had problems since Luck and Bell went down. Also, KC RB West may return so RB Ware may not help him. Needs a miracle to make the playoffs despite 6-6 record.
Donny
2 38.2%
1 56.9%
0 4.9%
The high chance of winning 1 or 2 games reflects getting to play Lily. Needs to win both games in reality to even sniff for a chance to make the playoffs.
Tuna
2 27.8%
1 52.8%
0 19.4%
Doesn't play any of the unsettled teams, so can't be spoiler. Chances are very remote to make the playoffs, had bad luck being the 3rd highest scoring team last week but had to face PJ's top scoring outfit.
PJ
2 16.7%
1 50.0%
0 33.3%
Matt
2 38.9%
1 47.2%
0 13.9%
It is likely Matt will get the #1 seed if he ties with Vu at the end of the season, due to his points scored total.
Vu
2 41.7%
1 50.0%
0 8.3%
At worst, a #2 seed. Slightly easier schedule compared to Matt, but very tiny edge.
Justin
2 29.2%
1 50.0%
0 20.8%
All aboard the Panthers express. This season's Katy in terms of going all-in with their favorite team. Due to point differential, pretty much will make the playoffs if he wins at least 1 game (ie 79.2% chance)
Hai
2 22.2%
1 55.6%
0 22.2%
Has banked enough points from week 9 and earlier to have the tie-break edge on any of the other teams below. Needs to root for PJ and Vu in week 14.
Victor
2 29.2%
1 50.0%
0 20.8%
No longer in charge of his destiny. Last week, should have gone with the 2 RB from same team strategy he used in mid-season. Like establishment Republicans, has to root for the rich to keep stomping on the middle class. Go Matt and Vu!
Kevin
2 6.9%
1 44.4%
0 48.6%
Has had problems since Luck and Bell went down. Also, KC RB West may return so RB Ware may not help him. Needs a miracle to make the playoffs despite 6-6 record.
Donny
2 38.2%
1 56.9%
0 4.9%
The high chance of winning 1 or 2 games reflects getting to play Lily. Needs to win both games in reality to even sniff for a chance to make the playoffs.
Tuna
2 27.8%
1 52.8%
0 19.4%
Doesn't play any of the unsettled teams, so can't be spoiler. Chances are very remote to make the playoffs, had bad luck being the 3rd highest scoring team last week but had to face PJ's top scoring outfit.
PJ
2 16.7%
1 50.0%
0 33.3%
Speaking of PJ, here is the spoiler team. Both games are versus contenders, and has a good chance of winning at least one. However, also has a significant chance to drop both games. PJ is all over the place in his scoring, with 3 100+ outings and 3 50-something duds as well.
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