Instead of ranking, I'm posting teams' playoff chances here:
1. Bill
First team to officially qualify for playoffs. Congrats on your turnaround season Bill. 100.0% chance
2. Tuna
Virtually a lock to qualify. Even if Tuna loses both remaining games, Donny would have to outscore him by 77 points in 2 games and win both of his games AND Andrew would have to win 2 games for Tuna to miss the playoffs. 99.2% chance
3. Lily
Will get in if she wins 1 of 2 games. Even if Lily loses both her 2 games, if both Hai and Donny lose at least 1 game, or Andrew loses both of his games, she's in the playoffs. 83.2% chance
4. Andrew
Will get in if he wins both of his games. If he loses 1 game, will qualify if Donny loses 1 game as well. If he loses both games, will still qualify if Donny loses both his games and Hai loses at least 1 game. 66.7% chance
5. Donny
Will get in if he wins both of his games, and either Lily loses both her games or Andrew wins only 1 game. Can still get in if he only wins 1 game and Andrew loses both of his games AND Hai loses 1 or more, assuming Donny ends up with more points than Andrew. 47.5% chance
6. Hai
Needs a bit of help. Has to win both of his games, and have Andrew lose both of his games, or Lily lose both of her games. In either case, Donny has to lose at least one game as well. 3.4% chance
Details
Tuna
Win 2 games 62.5%
Win 1 game 33.3%
Win 0 game 4.2%
Lily
Win 2 games 9.7%
Win 1 game 55.6%
Win 0 game 34.7%
Andrew
Win 2 games 38.9%
Win 1 game 47.2%
Win 0 game 13.9%
Donny
Win 2 games 43.8%
Win 1 game 45.8%
Win 0 game 10.4%
Hai
Win 2 games 12.5%
Win 1 game 50.0%
Win 0 game 37.5%
1. Bill
First team to officially qualify for playoffs. Congrats on your turnaround season Bill. 100.0% chance
2. Tuna
Virtually a lock to qualify. Even if Tuna loses both remaining games, Donny would have to outscore him by 77 points in 2 games and win both of his games AND Andrew would have to win 2 games for Tuna to miss the playoffs. 99.2% chance
3. Lily
Will get in if she wins 1 of 2 games. Even if Lily loses both her 2 games, if both Hai and Donny lose at least 1 game, or Andrew loses both of his games, she's in the playoffs. 83.2% chance
4. Andrew
Will get in if he wins both of his games. If he loses 1 game, will qualify if Donny loses 1 game as well. If he loses both games, will still qualify if Donny loses both his games and Hai loses at least 1 game. 66.7% chance
5. Donny
Will get in if he wins both of his games, and either Lily loses both her games or Andrew wins only 1 game. Can still get in if he only wins 1 game and Andrew loses both of his games AND Hai loses 1 or more, assuming Donny ends up with more points than Andrew. 47.5% chance
6. Hai
Needs a bit of help. Has to win both of his games, and have Andrew lose both of his games, or Lily lose both of her games. In either case, Donny has to lose at least one game as well. 3.4% chance
Details
Tuna
Win 2 games 62.5%
Win 1 game 33.3%
Win 0 game 4.2%
Lily
Win 2 games 9.7%
Win 1 game 55.6%
Win 0 game 34.7%
Andrew
Win 2 games 38.9%
Win 1 game 47.2%
Win 0 game 13.9%
Donny
Win 2 games 43.8%
Win 1 game 45.8%
Win 0 game 10.4%
Hai
Win 2 games 12.5%
Win 1 game 50.0%
Win 0 game 37.5%
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