Red zone stats for running backs

I only today discovered that CBS Sports has a new stat category called "Redzone Stats" for fantasy purposes. For a primary-TD league like FADUCO, these statistics can be useful. From the CBS stats, I added carries + receiving targets to show which running back is getting the opportunities. I sliced and diced the data and found out thus so far, if your running back gets either a carry or is targeted for a pass, the expected fantasy points is about 1.16 (ie. red zone efficiency level). For instance, looking at the top 20 running backs in terms of red zone total points, you can see that Ryan Mathews is a beast in the red zone, and that Ben Tate is not making the most of his chances. Though the data is admittedly limited with only 3 weeks worth, I think red zone efficiency can be a good indicator of fantasy performance.

Some ugly numbers not shown: Frank Gore with 0.500, Chris Johnson with 0.143, Cedric Benson with 0.111.

Player Team FPTS Total Looks Efficiency
McCoy, LeSean RB PHI Andrew 26 14 1.857
Mathews, Ryan RB SD POD 20 6 3.333
Tolbert, Mike RB SD POD 19 14 1.357
Peterson, Adrian RB MIN Sparkle Bunnies 19 11 1.727
Jackson, Fred RB BUF Beau's chewy toys 14 15 0.933
Hightower, Tim RB WAS Cellar Dwellers 14 14 1.000
Rice, Ray RB BAL Wu Wei 13 10 1.300
McFadden, Darren RB OAK Sparkle Bunnies 13 8 1.625
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus RB NE Beau's chewy toys 13 6 2.167
Bradshaw, Ahmad RB NYG Ruthless 13 5 2.600
Wells, Beanie RB ARI Katy 13 5 2.600
McGahee, Willis RB DEN POD 12 15 0.800
Best, Jahvid RB DET Omnivores 12 10 1.200
Kuhn, John RB GB Free Agent 12 5 2.400
Sproles, Darren RB NO Free Agent 8 9 0.889
Tate, Ben RB HOU Beau's chewy toys 7 14 0.500
Ingram, Mark RB NO Wu Wei 7 11 0.636
Mendenhall, Rashard RB PIT Hai 7 11 0.636
Hillis, Peyton RB CLE Andrew 7 10 0.700
Starks, James RB GB Andrew 7 9 0.778

Comments

ldonge said…
This is super geeky and cool. I love this hard hitting analytical work. Too bad it's just based on a poor statistical back test. Do again later in the year and see if there's a trend!