We'll try to make this a weekly feature. Your candidates for Donkey of the Week are the following:
1. Victor, Lily, and Lily's husband for buying expensive tickets in the 7th row to watch the Broncos lose to the Redskins at FedEx Field, and then having to do the walk of shame back to the metro.
2. At the same game, some guy in the row above us ordered 2 or 3 beers, and was short $3 (a beer costs $8). The vendor called security on him after the dude refused to pay the $3 and they tossed him out. His buddy said the guy paid like $150 for his ticket, and he got thrown out after one quarter over three lousy dollars (there are tons of ATMs at the stadium, btw).
3. Hai for losing to Lily and scoring under 40 points two weeks in a row.
Someone who shouldn't be Donkey of the Week even though he's getting a lot of flak from the press: Bill Bellichick.
Here's why: Patriots have been converting about 70% of their 4th and short this season (in other words, the opponent have a 30% of stopping the Pats). Let's say Peyton had a 60% chance of driving the field if the Pats punted and a 90% chance of scoring if the Patriots failed their 4th down. So Indy's chance to win if the Patriots went for it would be 30% x 90% = about 27%. Indy's chance to win would have been 60% if the Pats punted and gave Peyton quite a bit of time left to drive the length of the field.
In poker, if you had a 73% chance to win after the flop and went all-in, yet lost on the river to a straight or flush draw, people would be praising you for doing the right thing. So I'm going to defend Bellichick until the day I don't get screwed by the Sportsline scheduler. Which will be forever. Seriously, I'm the leading Asian scorer again but will probably go down in flames to Bill when his Ravens players toast the sad-sack Browns. Why does Hai have to score over 70 points only when I face him?
UPDATE: This website agrees with my analysis about Bellichick. They use a bit more conservative percentage for Peyton's chances but say in the last paragraph that their percentages should really be adjusted upwards since they used league averages and Peyton is far above league-average material.
1. Victor, Lily, and Lily's husband for buying expensive tickets in the 7th row to watch the Broncos lose to the Redskins at FedEx Field, and then having to do the walk of shame back to the metro.
2. At the same game, some guy in the row above us ordered 2 or 3 beers, and was short $3 (a beer costs $8). The vendor called security on him after the dude refused to pay the $3 and they tossed him out. His buddy said the guy paid like $150 for his ticket, and he got thrown out after one quarter over three lousy dollars (there are tons of ATMs at the stadium, btw).
3. Hai for losing to Lily and scoring under 40 points two weeks in a row.
Someone who shouldn't be Donkey of the Week even though he's getting a lot of flak from the press: Bill Bellichick.
Here's why: Patriots have been converting about 70% of their 4th and short this season (in other words, the opponent have a 30% of stopping the Pats). Let's say Peyton had a 60% chance of driving the field if the Pats punted and a 90% chance of scoring if the Patriots failed their 4th down. So Indy's chance to win if the Patriots went for it would be 30% x 90% = about 27%. Indy's chance to win would have been 60% if the Pats punted and gave Peyton quite a bit of time left to drive the length of the field.
In poker, if you had a 73% chance to win after the flop and went all-in, yet lost on the river to a straight or flush draw, people would be praising you for doing the right thing. So I'm going to defend Bellichick until the day I don't get screwed by the Sportsline scheduler. Which will be forever. Seriously, I'm the leading Asian scorer again but will probably go down in flames to Bill when his Ravens players toast the sad-sack Browns. Why does Hai have to score over 70 points only when I face him?
UPDATE: This website agrees with my analysis about Bellichick. They use a bit more conservative percentage for Peyton's chances but say in the last paragraph that their percentages should really be adjusted upwards since they used league averages and Peyton is far above league-average material.
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By the way - highlight of the game; Skins fans unfurling a banner reading "Sell the Team"