FADUCO Playoff chances

As I do every year, I give the percentage chance of each team still alive for the playoff hunt to make it. This year is noted for the conspicuous absence of either Bill or Victor from the list. Despite losing in terrible fashion their week 12 games, both Lily and Kevin have qualified for the playoffs. Hai is almost a lock, while Tuna and Katy are leading contenders for the final spot.

You can consider this my rankings for the week as well. I used the breakdown record against each opponent, and gave percentages if the owner will have 2 wins, 1 win, or 0 wins in their next 2 games. Then I used some proprietary complex math to get the % chance they'll be in the playoffs. If you want to cut to the chase, just look at the right-most column.



W L Win% Lose% 2-Win% 1-Win% 0-Win% Playoff%
Lily Katy 9 3 75% 25% 50% 42% 8% 100%

Victor 8 4 67% 33%



Kevin Victor 9 3 75% 25% 50% 42% 8% 100%

Hai 8 4 67% 33%



Hai Andrew 10 2 83% 17% 28% 61% 11% 94%

Kevin 4 8 33% 67%



Katy Lily 3 9 25% 75% 15% 54% 31% 59%

Bill 7 5 58% 42%



Tuna PJ 6 6 50% 50% 29% 50% 21% 41%

Andrew 7 5 58% 42%



PJ Tuna 6 6 50% 50% 25% 50% 25% <3%

Donny 6 6 50% 50%



Donny Bill 5 7 42% 58% 21% 50% 29% <3%

PJ 6 6 50% 50%





Rest of the rankings:

8. Andrew - He got high score of the week twice this season! Weird stat: Andrew is winless vs. Caucasians but undefeated vs. Asians.

9. Bill - At least he's losing on the cheap. However, he's destined for probably the #3 draft position.

10. Victor - Yet another bad scheduling matchup. Also, deserves shame as the only Asian to have lost his match last week. Victor has virtually locked up the 1st choice in the draft - 99% chance!

Don't forget, bottom two teams (currently Andrew and Victor) can win and cause their opponents to be fined in these last two weeks.

Comments

Anonymous said…
Lily should be fined for falling below 50% managerial efficiency...an embarrassment for a Donge.

Ruthless
Victor Donge said…
Yeah, I already informed Hai and her about that fine over the weekend.
Anonymous said…
Yet you didn't fine PJ for week 11...the week he played you.

Why do you fear the whities?
Victor Donge said…
No, PJ should have gotten the fine. He also needs to be fined for Mike Williams' arrest. Hai is aware but just hasn't marked it down on the website.